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Picking the brackets

March 20, 2008 in College hoops, March Madness

Is there really some inexplicable perfect formula which will win you five million in cash for the NCAA’s biggest tournament starting later today?

Yeah. According to ESPN, they have Bob Knight and that’s all that MATTERS. Listen up. I like Coach Knight but have you ever seen a network go so ga ga over itself?!?!?!?!?! Only ESPN could continue to pat itselves on the back and wave the pom poms as if it invented sports. How far low will they go?

Bristol only cares about getting the big names. It need not matter if they aren’t as good as an average former player or coach. That’s all they’re good for. Well, at the very least, that Detroit coaching legend Dickie V is still around sweating at every turn. Will someone please send him a case of white towels? Just make sure Jerry Tarkanian didn’t bite on them!

So, how does one go about picking the brackets for this big tournament? Well, according to all the experts, you can’t go against a No.1 seed. Well, at least they might be right this time around because all four 1′s are strong.

There are sure to be a few bracket busters along the way who make life miserable for everyone’s pool.

So let’s just get this over with because I’m not pretending to be a highly paid expert with a Bristol background. Actually, I know the area quite well. Shhhh. That will be our little secret.

EAST

First Round 

(1) UNC over (16) Mount St. Mary’s

(8) Indiana over (9) Arkansas

(5) Notre Dame over (12) George Mason

(13) Winthrop over (4) Washinton St.

(11) St. Joseph’s over (6) Oklahoma

(3) Louisville over (14) Boise St.

(10) South Alabama over (7) Butler

(2) Tennessee over (15) American

Second Round

(1) UNC over (8) Indiana

(5) Notre Dame over (13) Winthrop

(11) St. Joseph’s over (3) Louisville

(2) Tennessee over (10) South Alabama

Sweet 16

(1) UNC over (5) Notre Dame

(2) Tennessee over (11) St. Joseph’s

Regional Final

(1) UNC over (2) Tennessee

Analysis: Everyone seems to love Louisville but they rely way too much on the perimeter. If they force too many and have an off day, they’re going to get picked off despite the depth they have. I just am not in love with this Coach Pitino team. Notre Dame could bow out early to George Mason or they could reach the Sweet 16 and push the Tar Heels before falling. Despite a tough bracket, UNC has too much talent on and off the bench to lose. Tennessee should give them a great game in the Regional but when the chips are down, I’m taking the Tar Heels.

MIDWEST

First Round

(1) Kansas over (16) Portland St.

(9) Kent St. over (8) UNLV

(5) Clemson over (12) Villanova

(4) Vandy over (13) Siena

(6) USC over (11) Kansas St.

(3) Wisconsin over (14) CSU Fullerton

(10) Davidson over (7) Gonzaga

(2) Georgetown over (15) UMBC

Second Round

(1) Kansas over (9) Kent St.

(5) Clemson over (4) Vandy

(6) USC over (3) Wisconsin

(2) Georgetown over (10) Davidson

Sweet 16

(5) Clemson over (1) Kansas

(2) Georgetown over (6) USC

Regional Final

(2) Georgetown over (5) Clemson

Analysis: I have one simple rule when picking. Any bracket which has Kansas as a top seed is weak. I don’t care how great their players are. When the chips are down and it gets tight, they bend over faster than Paris Hilton. Clemson’s athletic and battle tested enough to take them out. That battle of freshmen O.J. Mayo vs Michael Beasley in the opening round is one hell of a game. Hope I get to see it. Georgetown could run into trouble against Davidson and sharp shooter Stephen Curry but their inside-out combo should be enough to get them deep into March for a second consecutive year.

SOUTH

First Round

(1) Memphis over (16) Tx Arlington

(9) Oregon over (8) Mississippi St.

(12) Temple over (5) Michigan St.

(4) Pitt over (13) Oral Roberts

(6) Marquette over (11) Kentucky

(3) Stanford over (14) Cornell

(10) St. Mary’s over (7) Miami Fla

(2) Texas over (15) Austin Peay

Second Round

(1) Memphis over (9) Oregon

(4) Pitt over (12) Temple

(6) Marquette over (3) Stanford

(2) Texas over (10) St. Mary’s

Sweet 16

(1) Memphis over (4) Pittsburgh

(2) Texas over (6) Marquette

Regional Final

(1) Memphis over (2) Texas

Analysis: Big East champ Pitt should finally break their jinx and win a couple of rounds but won’t have enough scoring to stop Memphis’ high flying attack. Jerel McNeal and Dominick James are one of the best backcourts and should be able to help Marquette knock out Stanford but they won’t have enough to beat D.J. Augustin and the Longhorns. I just think Memphis has too many weapons. Especially with freshman sensation Derrick Rose running the show.

WEST

First Round

(1) UCLA over (16) Miss. Valley St.

(9) Texas A & M over (8) BYU

(5) Drake over Western Kentucky

(4) Uconn over (13) San Diego

(6) Purdue over (11) Baylor

(3) Xavier over (14) Georgia

(7) West Va over (10) Arizona

(2) Duke over (15) Belmont

Second Round

(1) UCLA over (9) Texas A & M

(4) Uconn over (5) Drake

(3) Xavier over (6) Purdue

(7) West Va over (2) Duke

Sweet 16

(1) UCLA over (4) Uconn

(3) Xavier over (7) West Va

Regional Final

(1) UCLA over (3) Xavier

Analysis: This is probably the easiest bracket out of the four. With the talented Bruins basically playing at home and fragile high seeds such as Duke and Connecticut, UCLA should come out unscathed. Uconn could lose early but don’t discount the leadership of point guard A.J. Price. Shot blocking center Hasheem Thabeet must stay on the court. The Blue Devils are an excellent perimeter team but a potential second round match-up against Joe Alexander and the Mountaineers could be problematic. We like Xavier but that second round isn’t a given against Purdue. Either way, the Bruins with Darren Collison and freshman Kevin Love should have too much for whoever they meet in the regional final advancing to a third straight Final Four.

Final Four

(1) UNC over (2) Georgetown

(1) UCLA over (1) Memphis

NCAA Championship

(1) UCLA over (1) UNC

Final score: 75-72

Analysis: How boring to pick the Bruins. I know. What’s so riveting about that anyway? They’re experienced and can score more and play D better than anyone in the country. I just don’t trust UNC enough to take them but they should have enough to get by Georgetown this time to get revenge for last year at East Rutherford. John Wooden gets to see one more title.

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McAlarney overcame anxiety

March 18, 2008 in College hoops, March Madness

There’s been plenty written about Kyle McAlarney. The Notre Dame junior guard who was kicked out of school last year for marijuana possession back in December 2006 wasn’t sure he’d ever return to South Bend.

Even if Coach Mike Brey was extremely supportive and visited him as a friend out at the former Moore Catholic standout’s home, nothing was set in stone. Especially with the distraught McAlarney looking at other college options to resume his basketball career.

What wasn’t known was the amount of psychological damage the whole episode caused for the Staten Island kid who took responsibility for his actions and felt the heavy burden.

Still, our whole community was pulling for one of our own, who had made good playing Div. I ball from many a day practicing that outside shot which defies logic to this day. Just ask Jim Boeheim.

There was a special Sunday column in the Daily News on Kyle’s struggles with anxiety when he didn’t know what was wrong. As someone who’s dealt with similar issues over the past year, I could certainly relate to what he went through. It’s never easy to comprehend what’s going on.

You just want to get things righted. Much like McAlarney, I’ve also rectified my situation and am doing much better.

I definitely recommend the article above as it really is informative and details McAlarney’s dramatic turnaround leading to a great junior season where he and teammates will look to make a run in the Eastern region as the No.5 seed. A possible Sweet 16 showdown could come down against the top seeded Tar Heels.

But all of this was so far away 14 months ago as to hear McAlarney tell it:

“There are so many things that felt like rock-bottom that it’s hard to say,” said McAlarney, who starred for Moore Catholic High on Staten Island. “I’m not sure any of them was worse than the first game after my arrest. I remember watching ESPN and seeing my name across the bottom: ‘Kyle McAlarney suspended on marijuana charges.’

“But walking out of the tunnel onto this court in plain clothes, behind my teammates, and being able to feel every eye in the place on me was maybe the harshest. I sat on the bench and I knew that the TV cameras would be on me and that the announcers would be talking about the biggest mistake of my life.”

All that kind of stuff had to be extremely difficult to deal with. That’s why how he’s handled his issues off the court is commendable. It’s never easy to go public with anxiety. I have found that the more open you are about things, the better you’ll feel.

It’s good to see McAlarney doing so well. That’s the most important thing. Best of luck to him and the Fighting Irish in the Big Dance!

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Men’s Bracket unveiled

March 16, 2008 in College hoops, March Madness

It’s finally the end of the regular season and with that comes one of our favorite times of year. Big Dance time for 65 teams including the play-in winner in the opening round elimination game between Coppin State and Mount St. Mary’s.

For the love of God, please let Mount St. Mary’s win. Twenty loss teams shouldn’t be in this tournament. Though I’ll say this. If the SWAC Conference Tourney winners prevail, then they’ve certainly earned the right to get destroyed by No.1 overall seed North Carolina.

Since this really is just a quick entry, here are the No.1 seeds:

East-North Carolina

South-Memphis

Midwest-Kansas

West-UCLA

As the boring CBS duo of Jim Nantz and Billy “Know It All” Packer concluded, “No surprises here.”

So, who else made the cut? Let’s just breakdown the last few bubble teams who snuck their way in and celebrated:

Villanova (20-12)- their Big East first round win over bubble competitor Syracuse was enough to get them in. They can thank Wisconsin for taking care of under .500 Illinois for the Big Ten title earlier today. The Wildcats draw a tough assignment in a 5/12 match-up as the Big East goes head-to-head with feisty ACC runner-up Clemson (5). Not exactly a gift for Jay Wright’s club.

Kansas State (20-11)- the committee had to find a way to get mine and JPG’s National Player of the Year (apologies to Tyler Hansbrough) Michael Beasley (26.5 PPG, 12.4 RPG) into the Big Dance. And to make them an 11 seed in the Midwest against USC (6) and another freshman sensation O.J. Mayo has to be one of the most anticipated first round match-ups. Are they kidding? That’s going to be awesome!

Georgia (17-16)- sure, they miraculously won the tough SEC tournament doing so in unbelievable fashion needing to win twice yesterday and once today over Arkansas due to a tornado Friday night which hit Atlanta. Still, before they went through their conference, they were under .500 and wouldn’t have even qualified for the NIT. So, it comes as no surprise that the committee made them a low 14 seed who will take on No.3 seeded Xavier out West. They’re hot going in but Xavier is a very good team who has something to prove after how last March ended against 2007 runner-up Ohio State in one of the most electrifying games. Of course Gus Johnson would be involved.

Baylor (21-10)- good thing for the nine win Big 12 team that a double overtime loss in their conference tournament to 12th seeded Colorado didn’t comeback to bite them. Instead, they’ll be marching into the tournament with a new life. What had to be looked at was a tough non-conference schedule which included wins at Notre Dame and Winthrop and also a three-point loss to one of the higher seeds in Washington State. That’s what got them in where they’ll now play one of the better Big 10 teams in Purdue (6) out West. The Boilermakers had a great year winning 15 games in their conference and 24-8 overall. They dropped because of an early exit to Illinois. This is a team which played repeat champ Florida nearly to the wire. That turned out to be the Gators’ toughest test last year. So there’s plenty to prove.

Temple (20-12)- yes, they won the Atlantic-10 tournament edging Phil Martelli and St. Joe’s by five points. It’s the Owls first tournament appearance in seven years. Too bad there’s no more John Chaney pacing the sidelines and always good for a quote or two off the court as well. I’ll never forget that classic tirade where he cursed out and challenged then UMass coach John Calipari to a fight. Great stuff. They won 11 games this year in the conference. Now they’ll play the No.5 seeded Michigan State Spartans in the first round in the South. Never an enviable task going against Tom Izzo at this time of year.

St. Mary’s (25-6)- Even though they fell to eventual West Coast Conference tourney champion San Diego in double overtime, the Gaels still made it as they were rewarded for finishing second in the conference with a 12-2 record. Out of conference, they had wins over potential glass slipper Drake and Oregon. That along with a win over Gonzaga had to help. They’ll meet ACC representative Miami Florida in one of those fun 7/10 match-ups. Figure it to be a good one down South.

Kentucky (18-12)- the Wildcats were able to just squeak in as an 11 seed. Were they the final team taken or was it the other Wildcats of ‘Nova? Who knows? What’s important is they’re there despite an OT upset loss to the surprising Bulldogs. They did finish strong winning six of eight and 11 of their last 14. Their non-conference sched included defeats against UNC and Indiana. Louisville also got the better of them in the Battle for Lexington. Interestingly enough, they also lost to UAB by three whose bubble burst despite 22 wins including 12 in Conference USA. Maybe losing to Tulsa in the quarters had something to do with it. Being blown out by Memphis didn’t help much at the end of the regular season. Kentucky does play in a superior conference and their strength of sched had to be better. So they’re in and they’ll get Big East representative Marquette in an exciting 6/11 match-up. Two words. Jerel McNeal. Two more. Dominick James. Meaning the Wildcats better guard extremely well on the perimeter and stop the transition game of Tom Crean’s Golden Eagles.

St. Joseph’s (21-12)- they’re back. That’s right Billy Packer. Martelli’s Hawks are back in the NCAA’s just making the cut as an 11 seed out of the A-10. They went 9-7 in conference play finishing fourth but a run to the final before falling to Temple allowed them to get in meaning the committee took a trio from that conference. Pretty surprising. Ironically enough, St. Joe’s lost to Syracuse by three early in the season at the Carrier Dome. They also lost to the Zags by five at home. What probably helped them were their two wins in three meetings taking the last couple over Xavier including in the semis. So they’re back in for the first time since current NBA’ers Jameer Nelson and Delonte West were starring in the backcourt proving Packer wrong. They’ll draw Oklahoma in another 6/11 match-up out on the East coast. The Sooners won 22 games this season including nine in the Big 12 but are coming off an ugly 28-point blowout loss to Texas. They lost to Texas three times and split with Baylor. They were blown out by Kansas in the only meeting. An out of conference 11-point win over Arkansas losses to Memphis and USC helped them get their six seed. Probably also got USC their six as well. Go figure.

South Alabama (26-6)- nice to see the regular season Sun Belt champs get rewarded for going 16-2 despite falling to Middle Tennessee St. They belong in as a 22-point win over San Diego says. A three-point loss to SEC representative Vandy had to help as well. They’ll draw last year’s surprising Butler Bulldogs in a 7/10 match-up. Think WFAN will send John Minko upstate to go cover that one? ;-)

Bracket Sleepers

East- (5) Notre Dame, (8) Indiana, (7) Butler/(10) South Alabama winner, (13) Winthrop

Midwest- (5) Clemson, (9) Kent State, (10) Davidson, (11) Kansas St. 

South- (5) Michigan State, (9) Oregon, (10) St. Mary’s, (11) Kentucky 

West- (5) Drake, (6) Purdue, (7) West Virginia), (13) San Diego

That’s all for now. We’ll have much more later on including hopefully some fun picks from myself along with HB colleagues JPG, Brian Sanborn and Rob “Kraze” Davis.

Stay tuned!

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