The first round of the NBA playoffs finally was completed last night with the eighth seeded Grizzlies finishing off the top seeded Spurs for a stunning upset- becoming the second team to accomplish this feat since the opening round went to best-of-seven. A few years back, an athletic Golden State was too much for the Mavericks before fizzling out in the second round. Will the same fate happen to Zach Randolph, Mike Conley and Marc Gasol?
We’re here to tell you how they’ll fare against Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook’s Thunder while also going out on a limb with the Lakers and Mavs finally meeting up. Two fascinating match ups that should keep hoopsters locked in while the East gives us the much anticipated Heat/Celtics while the upset minded Hawks try to compete with certain League MVP Derrick Rose’s Bulls.
So, how will it all break down? Let’s take a look at who we see advancing to the NBA version of the Final Four!
EASTERN SEMIS
Bulls over Hawks in 5
Celts over Heat in 6
Why: For obvious reasons with Chicago just having too much for Atlanta to deal with. Nobody can guard Rose one-on-one. He’ll have his way. Joakim Noah should pose a problem inside for Al Horford and even Carlos Boozer should show up. Kyle Korver is money from downtown and Luol Deng and Taj Gibson provide strong support. Joe Johnson will need a repeat performance and Mr. Clutch, Jamal Crawford the same for the Hawks to stand any chance. Unless Josh Smith snaps out of it, this will be a short series. …
The Celtics and Heat are more evenly matched. Experience versus youth. Half court against transition. Old guard takes on new guard, looking to back up all the hoopla surrounding the Big Three of LeBron, D-Wade and Chris Bosh. How can Boston slow them down? Well, they get back on D and won’t allow many dunks or fastbreaks. There’s also unique point guard Rajon Rondo, who destroyed the Knicks at MSG with a triple double and another big game in closing them out before an angry Jim Dolan. If he didn’t own our franchise, I’d be a lot more ticked. If the games are close, you have to like the Celts’ chances with reliable Ray Allen, Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett all proven closers. Miami’s had trouble all year finishing games with the ball too much in either LeBron or Wade’s hands. At least they got it together to finish off their “breakfast.” :-\ A silly James reference to the 76ers, who pushed them despite losing in five. The fact the Celts found ways to beat us in the first two and then got down to business bodes well because it allowed their older legs to rest. The Heat will need help from Mario Chalmers, Mike Bibby and Joel Anthony, who is a key inside presence off the bench. The Celts counter with Glen Davis, Jeff Green, Jermain O’Neal and Delonte West, which should give them an edge. Shaq is back but how much will he play if the other O’Neal continues to turn back the clock? Don’t forget too that Doc Rivers is a better coach than Erik Spoelstra, which could be a factor. That’s why we’ll go with the New England Clam Chowdah over Miami Beach.
WESTERN SEMIS
Mavs over Lakers in 6
Thunder over Grizzlies in 7
Why: I know what you’ll say. Are you crazy going against Phil Jackson, Kobe, Pau Gasol, Lamar Odom and a healthy Andrew Bynum? Perhaps. Doesn’t anyone find it a little strange that LA was pushed by the Chris Paul Hornets minus David West? Granted. A motivated CP3 is one of the game’s best and roasted Derek Fisher and whoever else Jackson tried with Kobe even getting the assignment. Jason Kidd provides a different challenge in that he’s much older but is superb overall. This is his last chance to win along with Dirk and it also happens to be the deepest team Dallas has ever had, featuring Jason Terry, Tyson Chandler, Shawn Marion, Peja Stojakovic, J.J. Barea, Deshawn Stevenson and Brandon Haywood. Rick Carlisle could also have versatile Caron Butler at his disposal, which should boost their chances. The Mavs are deep, lock down on D and don’t rely on just Dirk offensively. Terry can do damage and Barea’s a smart player who was key in closing out Portland. Stevenson is crazy enough to guard Kobe, who will get his numbers. It boils down to do the Mavs have enough to neutralize the Lakers’ size? If they rebound, there’s no reason they can’t pull it off. Dirk looks really determined. He knows he’s running out of chances. The time is now. …
What’s not to love about this other match up between two young athletic teams with one ensured of the Conference Finals. This is great for basketball. Fresh blood finally! So, why do we like Oklahoma City over Memphis? His name is Kevin Durant and he can ball. The kid from Texas is ultra smooth and cannot be guarded. The Grizz’ size should help but Durant can make shots from anywhere, using his wingspan. He’s not afraid to take the ball to the rim late as he did in carrying them in Game 5 over the Nuggets. Randolph had his way with the Spurs, abusing Antonio McDyess and even making Tim Duncan look old. A sad sight but that’s still the greatest power forward to ever play the game. Zebo is a tough cover because he’s silky smooth, beating you with his back to the basket or facing you. However, shot blocker Serge Ibaka provides the Thunder with the kind of athletic big that can make it tougher on the game’s most disrespected superstar. His nine blocks were one shy of the NBA playoff record shared by Akeem The Dream and Mark Eaton. James Harden can light it up from the outside. While Memphis will be doubling Durant, that will leave the dangerous Westbrook to go one-on-one with Conley. Though the Ohio State product’s made huge strides, that’s a tough assignment. Kendrick Perkins provides additional beef inside against Marc Gasol, who will need a big series for the Grizz to string the upset. Unlike his brother, Marc’s a conventional center who can finish inside and rebound. That match up should be fun to watch. Thabo Sefolosha provides gritty D and Eric Maynor important minutes when Westbrook needs a breather. It’s hard not to prefer the deeper Grizz with athletic Tony Allen, high riser Darrell Arthur, scorer O.J. Mayo and Shane Battier all key contributors. Sam Young can also shoot it from three. The strategy seems obvious. Try to wear down Durant/Westbrook. I just feel that if they can make life difficult on Zebo, Memphis will have a tough time prevailing. It’s Durant’s time and he’s ready for that next step.