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2007-08 NHL Preview Part II: The West plus Cup and award winners

October 4, 2007 in NHL

Roberto Luongo has the Canucks in search of their first Stanley Cup.

It’s a brand new season out West. Already, a couple of games were played over in London with the defending chamion Ducks splitting a series with the Kings.

The other 13 teams in the conference got underway beginning last night. It started with a pair of marquee match-ups later tonight as the Ducks visit Detroit for a Conference Final rematch while the Avs host Dallas.

Possible playoff previews? Let’s find out:

Western Conference Rankings

+*1.Red Wings
*2.Sharks
*3.Canucks
4.Ducks
5.Flames
6.Wild
7.Avalanche
8.Stars
9.Predators
10.Blues
11.Kings
12.Blackhawks
13.Oilers
14.Blue Jackets
15.Coyotes
+Conference winner

*Division winners

Analysis: Ranking the East was easier compared to the West because this conference is  tougher to call. With the exception of a couple of bottom feeders, there could be a mad scramble for the final couple of playoff spots. Let’s see why.

Paul Stastny has the Avalanche poised to get back to the postseason.

Climbing The Mountain: Despite a mad dash in pursuit of a 11th consecutive postseason in Colorado, the Avalanche fell just short losing out to Calgary which snapped the franchise’s run of 11 straight playoff appearances dating back to their final year (1995) in Quebec.

Avs fans shouldn’t worry about it becoming a trend because with rising stars Paul Stastny and Wojtek Wolski teaming with captain Joe Sakic, freshly signed Ryan Smyth, Milan Hejduk and Andrew Brunette, they should be back next Spring. They also added Scott Hannan to stablize the D. Peter Budaj is also overlooked in net.

The pressure will squarely be on Chris Mason's shoulders to get the Predators in the playoffs.

On The Bubble: Both the Predators and Stars still have good teams but they could just be battling each other as well as some newcomers for the final berth.

Despite dealing away Tomas Vokoun, Kimmo Timonen and Scott Hartnell plus not re-signing Kariya, the Preds still have a solid defensive core. Shea Weber is the best of the bunch and one day could win a Norris. Marek Zidlicky will put up points but is shaky in his end. Ryan Suter could reach double digits in goals and increase his scoring. Dan Hamhuis is reliable and vet Greg de Vries is serviceable.

The Preds still have Jason Arnott and David Legwand centering their top two lines. JP Dumont and Martin Erat are solid players and Alexander Radulov is a future 40-goal sniper. Veteran Martin Gelinas adds grit as does former Ranger Jed Ortmeyer who should help them shorthanded. Radek Bonk also can take draws.

It’s still a competitive roster but how will Chris Mason fare as the No.1 netminder? There’s only the inexperienced Dan Ellis backing up. Guess who drafted him. Dallas.

The Stars didn’t make any drastic changes following a disappointing seven-game first round loss to Vancouver. And this time, Marty Turco couldn’t be blamed. It was the offense. Mike Smith is a solid backup.
Is there enough O? Well, Sergei Zubov and Phillippe Boucher should each be good for at a combined 100 points from the blueline. They’ll need Mike Modano, Jere Lehtinen and Jussi Jokinen to produce. It would also help if team leader Brenden Morrow stays on the ice because he means so much to the fabric of the Stars.

They could also use Mike Ribeiro who led them in scoring last season but will be out to mid-October due to a high ankle sprain.

If there are question marks, it’s the supporting cast. Can vets such as Stu Barnes and Niklas Hagman really be relied on for offense? Joel Lundqvist plays with a ton of energy. If they need a boost, expect Junior Lessard to get a shot. The former Minnesota-Duluth star had a good preseason.

Is former 2006 first overall pick Erik Johnson ready for primetime in St. Louis?

No Longer Blue? When Andy Murray took over behind the bench in St. Louis, the Blues responded by playing better hockey and even made a run at the final playoff spot before the teams above them pulled away.

GM John Davidson did a wonderful job getting plenty back for Keith Tkachuk and Bill Guerin. Now Tkachuk is back hoping to help lead an improved team to its first postseason in four years (’03-04). The power forward will look to mesh with new Blue Paul Kariya and budding forward Lee Stempniak. They’ll look for Brad Boyes to step up production after coming over from Boston last year. He’ll work with vets Martin Rucinsky and Doug Weight.

The blueline could get a boost from rookie Erik Johnson, who after spending a year at Minnesota is ready to play in the NHL. The 2006 first overall pick has drawn comparisons to former Blue Chris Pronger. For now, he’ll try to blend in with vets Eric Brewer, Barret Jackman and Christian Backman. Manny Legace had a good first season in St. Louis and will man the goal while ex-Bruin Hannu Toivonen backs up for now. Former No.1 Marek Schwarz could also be recalled.
Jonathan Toews tries to ignite this dead Original Six back to life.

Working Their Way Back: For supporters of the Kings and Blackhawks, there hasn’t been much to cheer about lately. Maybe that might change this season.

While Los Angeles GM Dean Lombardi couldn’t make the big free agent splash this past summer, he did make some nice additions adding Ladislav Nagy, Michal Handzus and Kyle Calder up front to a core which already has a good core in the young trio of Michael Cammalleri, Alexandre Frolov and Anze Kopitar.

With Brad Stuart and Tom Preissing added to a blueline which includes new captain Rob Blake who should have a better season plus the often overlooked Lubomir Visnovsky and youngster Jack Johnson, the Kings appear to be very formidable.

The big question is in net with Jason LaBarbera and 2006 first rounder Jonathan Bernier. Can a 19 year-old rookie netminder backstop a team into the playoffs? Only time shall tell.

As for the Blackhawks, there’s more excitement due to a pair of promising rookies in 2006 third overall pick Jonathan Toews and 2007 first overall selection Patrick Kane. Much is riding on the teenagers’ shoulders. Toews is iffy for their first game due to two broken fingers.

They should get help from Martin Havlat, who’s one of the game’s most gifted players. If he stays healthy, 40-plus goals and 100 points isn’t out of the question. The problem is the ex-Sen almost always goes down. If he doesn’t, Havlat will start with vets Sergei Samsonov and Robert Lang. Vet Yanic Perreault is usually good for 20 goals and reliable on faceoffs.

If there are questions with this team, it’s whether Nikolai Khabibulin can regain the form he showed in backstopping the Lightning to the Cup three years ago. The blueline remains young with much expected of Brent Seabrook, Duncan Keith and James Wisniewski.

They might be another year away.

Ed Jovanovski needs to stay on the ice for the Coyotes to avoid further embarrassment.

Bottom of Barrel: If you’re in this category, it’s probably not too promising. But it is just pre-rankings. Will any of the three bottom feeders silence us?

It’s hard not to admit that the Oilers improved even if GM Kevin Lowe can’t seem to attract big stars due to his reputation. Maybe if he wasn’t such a snake and knew how to run that once proud franchise, they’d be in better shape. If only he could lace up the skates and re-team with Gretzky, Messier, Kurri, Anderson, Coffey and Fuhr.

Sheldon Souray brings his cannon with him to Western Canada. The Oilers are banking on the former Hab to have a repeat of his NHL record 19 power play goals as a defenseman. That will be tough to match. As Joffrey Lupul found out, it’s not easy to play in Edmonton. He was soon shipped out along with popular captain Jason Smith to the Flyers for Joni Pitkanen, who Lowe is banking on to team with Souray to form a dynamic duo. Offensively, they should be fine. But there could be a few adventures in their end. Steve Staios is steady.
How desperate was Lowe to land a big name? After inking Thomas Vanek to a seven-year $50 million offersheet which Buffalo not only matched but made a threat about future Oilers (get the popcorn ready), the GM decided to get a little revenge from the team he hooked up last year by signing Dustin Penner away from the Ducks- giving the forward $21.5 million over five years. The recently turned 25 year-old from Manitoba is coming off a 29 goal, 45 point rookie season.

His size (6-4, 245) should fit in well on a first line with Shawn Horcoff and Ales Hemsky. Jarret Stoll, new captain Ethan Moreau and Raffi Torres will be relied on for secondary scoring. Vets Marty Reasoner and Geoff Sanderson provide depth. Much hinges on Robert Nilsson and 2005 first rounder Andrew Cogliano.
The biggest problem is in net where vet Dwayne Roloson fell back to earth last year. Mathieu Garon backs up after failing in L.A. Can you win with an aging No.1 and an unknown entity? Maybe Lowe should see if Mikhail Shtalenkov or Bob Essensa are still available.

At least the Oilers have a respectable roster which could compete. The same really can’t be said for the Blue Jackets or Coyotes. These teams could fight for the worst league record.

Columbus continues to look like they’re not going anywhere fast. Sergei Fedorov has had a distinguished career but the tank is running on empty. How could the 37 year-old Russian be their top pivot? Playing on this team must make him long for the days of Anna Kournikova and Detroit.

Rick Nash should have a better season under Ken Hitchcock and David Vyborny deserves to be on a contender. The problem for the Jackets is unless the latest Russian enigma Nikolai Zherdev fulfills potential, there isn’t much here to get excited about. Gilbert Brule plays with fire and should improve. Manny Malhotra is solid defensively and on the PK. Dan Fritsche as your second center? The pressure’s on.

Ron Hainsey will put up points from the backline but former 2002 first rounder Rotislav Klesla has been a disappointment. Ex-third rounder Kris Russell will try to help improve the D. It doesn’t get much better in net with veteran Fredrik Norrena. On a team like this, isn’t it time to find out what former 2001 first round pick Pascal Leclaire has?

If you think this team is bad, wait till you see the Coyotes. Former 2006 first round pick Peter Mueller is centering their top line. There’s still Shane Doan, Steve Reinprecht but where are they going with Mike York, Niko Kapanen and Radim Vrbata?

This is what Ed Jovanovski signed up for? At least the D has Keith Ballard and Zbynek Michalek. What game will Jovanovski go down in?

A.Game 8- out 2 months  B.Game 16- out indefinitely  C.Game 25- done for season

Hey. It’s better than watching this team Gretzky’s former agent did a bang up job on. Well, at least they got David Aebischer in net. And that’s supposed to be a good thing?

Are Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau ready to lead the Sharks to their first Stanley Cup appearance?

In The Hunt: One thing about this conference is it’s very top heavy. With the exception of the Central where Detroit should roll, the Pacific and Northwest will be awfully competitive. You could see some exciting races down to the wire like last year.

The Northwest might be the toughest to call. With the revamped Avs back in the mix and the Oilers a little better, the division games should be even more fun to follow.

You can never underestimate Jacques Lemaire’s Wild. When supplied with good players, the wise coach who led the Devils to a Cup usually delivers. With a nucleus which features Marian Gaborik, Mikko Koivu, Brian Rolston, Pavol Demitra and Pierre-Marc Bouchard, he has plenty of speed and smart players to send out. Mark Parrish isn’t bad on the third line either.

There really isn’t a standout on D but Brent Burns, Kurt Foster and Nick Schultz are capable. Kim Johnsson struggled in his first season.

If Niklas Backstrom falters in net after a great 2006-07 which made Manny Fernandez expendable, Josh Harding is more than capable of filling in.

One team they’ll compete with is the Flames. They relied too much on Miikka Kiprusoff to bail them out last Spring and paid the price. With ex-Bolt Cory Sarich in supplying some beef and Adrian Aucoin set to replace Roman Hamrlik, the blueline looks bolstered. Especially if Robyn Regehr stays healthy while Norris hopeful Dion Phaneuf continues to improve.
Alex Tanguay, Jarome Iginla, and Daymond Langkow are a terrific top line. Matt Lombardi and Kristian Huselius are coming off career seasons. How will Huselius perform under Mike Keenan? He was the one who shipped him from Miami to Alberta. Owen Nolan is a Keenan kind of player and Mark Smith, Craig Conroy and Marcus Nilson comprise a solid checking line.

This team has a nice mix. The only question is will they listen to Keenan? They could go very far or flop.

They’ll be chasing the Canucks who are similar in terms of personnel. Roberto Luongo will be looking for his first Vezina and should get help from a balanced D which includes Kevin Bieksa, Mattias Ohlund, Willie Mitchell and Lukas Krajicek. Ex-King Aaron Miller is a decent addition to this corps.

Up front, it’s the usual suspects in The Sedins who will create most of the offense. They’ll need more from captain Markus Naslund and Brendan Morrison who will be teamed with Taylor Pyatt. Pyatt is coming off a career best 23 goal campaign and could be in line for 30. They’ll need it along with usual offense from an active blueline.

Matt Cooke is underrated and Ryan Kesler must pick it up. If the well runs dry in the winter, don’t be surprised if they take a run at Naslund Swedish buddy Peter Forsberg. His addition would make sense for a team that’s not far away from its first Cup.

Last season, the Ducks wealth of experience and young talent proved to be too much in a very competitive conference. Chris Pronger’s addition to a blueline which already featured Scott Niedermayer gave them a clear edge over opponents. With second-year players such as Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry stepping to the forefront to team with Andy McDonald and veteran sniper Teemu Selanne plus a reliable checking line anchored by Sami Pahlsson, they won their first championship.

Even if Niedermayer retires and Selanne doesn’t return, Brian Burke’s club should still remain in the hunt. Despite losing Penner to Edmonton, he signed Todd Bertuzzi, who already hasn’t looked out of place so far. Chris Kunitz is one of the best kept secrets in the league. Travis Moen isn’t far behind. 2005 first rounder Bobby Ryan finally made the roster and starts out on the third line.

Burke did bring in Matt Schneider from Detroit to boost the D but the vet will miss some time with a broken ankle. There’s still Pronger to anchor it along with underrated Francois Beauchemin and vet Sean O’Donnell. They’ll manage.

While Jean-Sebastien Giguere recovers from hernia, Ilya Bryzgalov and Jonas Hiller are filling in.

The Ducks should definitely still be competing for the Pacific but the Sharks look to have the upper hand this time. The top line of Patrick Marleau, Joe Thornton and Jonathan Cheechoo is scary. Will the trio remain intact? Milan Michalek worked well with Jumbo Joe and Cheechoo last year. And Marleau can always move down if Joe Pavelski struggles. Steve Bernier and Ryan Clowe are a year older.

The Sharks also have a dynamite checking line which has Patrick Rismiller and Mike Grier on it. With promising rookie Devin Setoguchi in the mix, they just might boast the deepest four lines. Vet Jeremy Roenick isn’t what he used to be but he shouldn’t hurt either.
San Jose’s blueline is just as balanced with Kyle McLaren and Christian Ehrhoff anchoring a unit which features offensive talent Matt Carle along with Marc-Edouard Vlasic and vet Craig Rivet.

If Evgeni Nabokov performs well without Vesa Toskala, it all looks in place. The Russian could be a sleeper Vezina candidate and lead the Sharks to their first Cup Final.

The Red Wings should definitely again be fighting to go deep into next Spring. With Dominik Hasek back for another year, what’s not to like? Just as long as Chris Osgood doesn’t have to play every night.

Henrik Zetterberg, Pavel Datsyuk and Tomas Holmstrom are dynamic. Johan Franzen, Valterri Filpulla and Mikael Samuelsson are underrated and will play bigger roles. Jiri Hudler should improve.

They replaced Schneider with ex-Devil Brian Rafalski who should feel right at home in a similar system which gets the most out of players. Nick Lidstrom is still the best defenseman on the planet. Niklas Kronwall and Brett Lebda continue to improve. Can anyone believe Chris Chelios still plays and well?

Playoff Crystal Ball

Conf. Qtrs

(1) Wings over (8) Stars

(2) Sharks over (7) Avs

(3) Canucks over (6) Wild

(5) Flames over (4) Ducks

Conf. Semis

(5) Flames over (1) Wings

(3) Canucks over (2) Sharks

Conference Champion: Canucks

Stanley Cup Champ: Rangers

2007-08 Awards

Hart- Jason Spezza

Vezina- Henrik Lundqvist

Norris- Chris Pronger

Calder- Jonathan Toews

Selke- Mike Fisher

Byng- Joe Sakic

Adams- Jacques Martin

Smythe- Jaromir Jagr

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2007-08 NHL Preview Part I: The East

October 2, 2007 in NHL

Chris Drury looks to help lead the Rangers back to the Stanley Cup.

The puck is about to drop on another NHL season. And while the lights finally went on after a bizarre half hour delay for the first ever games in London over the weekend between defending champ Anaheim and Los Angeles who split wins, the other 28 teams officially get underway the next couple of nights.

So, what’s in store for this season? Let’s find out:

Eastern Conference Rankings

+*1.Senators
*2.Rangers

*3.Hurricanes

4.Sabres

5.Devils

6.Penguins

7.Flyers

8.Maple Leafs

9.Panthers

10.Capitals
11.Islanders

12.Lightning

13.Thrashers

14.Canadiens

15.Bruins

+Conference winner

*Division winners

Analysis: Predicting the East is very tough because there are a few teams who could be ready to make the playoffs. Let’s break it all down.
On The Rise: With the Panthers adding a No.1 goalie in Tomas Vokoun, they could be back in the postseason for the first time since 2000.
Meanwhile, the Caps are banking on key additions Michael Nylander, Tom Poti and Calder hopeful Nicklas Backstrom to get them back in the mix. If their D and Olaf Kolzig hold up, there could be excitement in the nation’s capital.
The Lightning should score plenty but will Johan Holmqvist or whoever plays goal for them stop enough pucks?

Heading The Wrong Way: Offensive minded teams such as the Thrashers and Lightning could take significant steps back due to questionable team defenses. Tampa Bay coach John Tortorella can’t even decide on a netminder. His team will score plenty of goals but who’s keeping them out? By midseason, Corey Schwab and Daren Puppa might be better options. The early loss of All-Star defenseman Dan Boyle will also hurt.

Is Bobby Holik who you want captaining your team? Only Atlanta coach Bob Hartley can answer that one. Offense won’t be a problem but unless Kari Lehtonen carries this team, it could be a tough year.

Despite losing Ryan Smyth (Colorado) and Jason Blake (Toronto), the Islanders might still be better than the bottom of the conference like most are predicting. They won’t miss Alexei Yashin who apparently was sent to Siberia by Carol Alt.

The additions of Mike Comrie, Ruslan Fedotenko and new captain Bill Guerin will comprise their top line. The pressure is on. Andy Sutton replaces Sean Hill. As long as Rick DiPietro stays healthy, Ted Nolan’s club should remain competitive. The question will all the changes work?

It could be another year on the outside for Habs' captain Saku Koivu.

Golf Anyone:  It’s hard to see either Montreal or Boston having much of an impact in this deep conference. Both Original Six clubs are very flawed and don’t seem to have improved much.

The Canadiens are hoping to get a spark from former No.1 pick Carey Price who backstopped their AHL affiliate to a Calder Cup. It’s tough to throw a kid into the fire. Especially when your D lost Sheldon Souray (Edmonton) and replaced him with Roman Hamrlik. Andrei Markov is very good all around. Mike Komisarek is improving. The rest of the D is scary. Cristobal Huet must return to form.

Up front, Chris Higgins, Tomas Plekanec and Guillaume Latendresse must continue to progress because relying on Alexei Kovalev to score consistently is like asking Jim Dolan to fire Isiah Thomas. Saku Koivu must lead and Michael Ryder must score. Bryan Smolinski is a solid vet. Steve Begin is a solid penalty killer.

It’s hard to see this team scoring a lot or keeping enough pucks out.

As for Boston, they picked up Manny Fernandez from the Wild this summer to assume the No.1 role in net. He’s never started more than 58 in a season. So expect him to split time with Tim Thomas.

The problem for either is outside of Zdeno Chara, the Boston D isn’t scaring anybody. Aaron Ward as your second defenseman? Say it ain’t so. On the plus-side, Dennis Wideman should do okay and Andrew Ference will play tough. If they need someone to beat up the opposition, there’s Andrew Alberts.

They won’t have trouble scoring with Marc Savard, Patrice Bergeron, Glen Murray, Marco Sturm and second-year forward Phil Kessel. Peter Schaefer for Shean Donovan was a smart move. The ex-Sen will improve their penalty killing and should work well with PJ Axelsson.
But what are the secondary options if Chuck Kobasew and Brandon Bochenski fail?

There’s always the Celtics.

Would you write off the Devils just yet with Martin Brodeur atill around?

In The Mix: Teams such as the Devils and Sabres were hit hard this past offseason and will each have to overcome key defections.
Buffalo lost Chris Drury (Rangers), Daniel Briere (Flyers) and Dainius Zubrus (Devils) to Eastern competitors. However, they still have new top line pivot Derek Roy who looked sharp in preseason with Thomas Vanek and Maxim Afinogenov. Jason Pominville could see a drop in production but a healthy Tim Connolly should help as will a full season of Drew Stafford.

With Brian Campbell and Henrik Tallinder anchoring the blueline and Ryan Miller still in net, the Sabres should be back in the playoffs. They’ll also get veteran leader Teppo Numminen (heart surgery) back at some point.

As for the Devils, the more things change, the more they don’t. So they lost Scott Gomez (Rangers), Brian Rafalski (Red Wings) and Brad Lukowich (Lightning). They still have top scorer Patrik Elias, rising star Zach Parise, elite finisher Brian Gionta, Travis Zajac and added Zubrus to help offset Gomez’ defection to Broadway. They will miss Jamie Langenbrunner (hernia surgery) who could be out two months which might hurt the offense.
The bigger questions are will the blueline additions of Karel Rachunek and Vitali Vishnevski pay off? It all depends on how well they perform under new coach Brent Suter’s more aggressive system. They still have arguably the game’s best netminder Martin Brodeur to fall back on which is why anyone predicting their demise should seek immediate psychiatric help.

The Flyers should be back in the postseason thanks to the additions of Briere, Scott Hartnell, Kimmo Timonen and new captain Jason Smith. The D should be tougher to play against which could make Martin Biron’s life easier. So anyone expecting him to faulter might be surprised. Have you seen his pads? So much for form-fitting uniforms eliminating that issue.

Briere is a suitable top center who should mesh well with Simon Gagne and Mike Knuble. Expect bounce back seasons from Jeff Carter and Mike Richards.

Another team which should be back at the top of their division is Carolina. The addition of Matt Cullen should again boost their forward depth like it did two years ago when they won the Cup. Eric Staal should be better plus Cory Stillman and key defender Frantisek Kaberle are healthy. Cam Ward also is trimmer and re-focused. Peter Laviolette’s team should be a pain in the ass to deal with.
Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs are banking on new netminder Vesa Toskala to be worth a few more wins than Andrew Raycroft. GM John Ferguson better hope the ex-Shark performs better than preseason or he might want to dial up Felix Potvin.

Scoring shouldn’t be a problem with captain Mats Sundin back along with new linemate Blake, everyone’s favorite pest Darcy Tucker plus underrated forwards Alexei Ponikarovsky and Kyle Wellwood. They’ll need Alexander Steen and Nik Antropov to step up with Wellwood out indefinitely due to a sports hernia.

With Bryan McCabe, Tomas Kaberle, Carlo Colaiacovo and Ian White, the blueline will provide plenty of offensive support. Will they play enough D to squeak back in the playoffs?

In a contract year, can Dany Heatley lead the Sens back to the Cup Final?

Beasts of East: Most experts like the Rangers, Senators and Penguins to come out of the conference. All three should be formidable.

With the additions of Drury and Gomez to offset the loss of Nylander, the Blueshirts got younger and quicker at center. They also gained more leadership with the heady Drury, who is a good presence and also scores big goals. How will he mesh with captain Jaromir Jagr and Martin Straka? The playmaking Gomez will start with Sean Avery and Brendan Shanahan which is an upgrade.

What’s not being discussed is the Rangers’ depth which includes Petr Prucha, Ryan Callahan and rookie Brandon Dubinsky who beat out Nigel Dawes for the last spot. Don’t be shocked if Dawes winds up here because he impressed while Marcel Hossa gets shipped out.

The defense has been questioned a lot but if Fedor Tyutin and Dan Girardi carry over their solid play from the Spring and rookie Marc Staal adjusts, it could turn into a strength. Henrik Lundqvist looks focused and could compete for the Vezina.
Ottawa is coming off a bit of a breakthrough winning the conference before a disappointing five-game result to Anaheim for all the hardware. With top finisher Dany Heatley facing the prospect of free agency, expect a monster season. Jason Spezza could compete with Sidney Crosby for the Art Ross. Daniel Alfredsson teams up to form arguably the most lethal line in the game.

Mike Fisher is the most underrated two-way forward in the game. Maybe this is the year he takes home a Selke. Antoine Vermette and Chris Kelly also fly under the radar. Wade Redden is also up next summer and should bounce back. Anton Volchenkov is a beast and Chris Phillips is perhaps overlooked.

The Sens will start without Ray Emery (wrist) which means Martin Gerber must get off to a strong start. He should. How will they perform under new coach John Paddock who was promoted from Binghamton while Bryan Murray moved upstairs replacing John Muckler? They shouldn’t miss a beat.

Of the trio, the Pens might be the team who comes down. Outside of their four centers which include Hart winner Crosby, Calder winner Evgeni Malkin, Jordan Staal and Erik Christensen, the rest of the forwards are not great by any stretch. Free agent pickup Petr Sykora is already a question mark. Vets Mark Recchi and Gary Roberts could be Viagra spokesmen. Ryan Malone, Max Talbot and Colby Armstrong must perform well.

Sergei Gonchar and Ryan Whitney will provide plenty of offense from the blueline. Darryl Sydor can help their second power play but is he reliable in his end at this stage of his career? Brooks Orpik must stay out of the box.

Marc-Andre Fleury had a good season. He’ll need to be even better without an experienced backup.

Playoff Crystal Ball

Conf. Qtrs

(1) Sens over (8) Leafs

(2) Rangers over (7) Flyers

(6) Pens over (3) Canes

(4) Sabres over (5) Devils

Conf. Semis

(1) Sens over (6) Pens

(2) Rangers over (4) Sabres

Conference Champion: Rangers

Coming later today: The West

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A Rockie Mountain High

October 2, 2007 in Newsworthy

Colorado Rockies' left fielder and NL MVP candidate Matt Holliday slides head first just getting his left hand in ahead of Michael Barrett's tag to give Colorado dramatic come from behind 13 inning win to clinch wildcard.

They couldn’t have scripted it any better if they tried. In a feel good story made for TV, the Colorado Rockies truly delivered the ultimate finish, rewarding their fans by completing an improbable comeback to win for the 14th time in their final 15 games.

That it needed four extra innings along with late dramatics five hours later made it that much more special for a sellout crowd at Coors Field.

Matt Holliday atoned for his misplay of a Brian Giles eighth inning double which forced extras by delivering a clutch opposite field RBI triple off San Diego closer Trevor Hoffman and then scored the winning run on Jamey Carroll’s RBI sac fly getting his left hand in just ahead of Michael Barrett’s tag to help Colorado complete a come from behind 9-8 win over the Padres in the tiebreaking game which gave the Rockies the NL wildcard.

Colorado's Brian Fuentes tastes the bubbly in happy Rockie locker room.

In a topsy turvy season filled with more twists and turns than a rollercoaster which included the Rockies’ next opponent’s dramatic comeback from seven down with 17 left, the final game of the 2007 regular season lived up to that billing making this one of the most exciting seasons in recent memory.
The play-in game was necessary due to Colorado sweeping a three-game series at San Diego the previous weekend which helped them get into this position. They also got plenty of help from the Brewers who after being eliminated by the Padres still played with enough pride to take the final two games from them, which allowed the Rockies to gain the two games they needed to force a tie and host last night’s one-game playoff.

Just how close were the Padres to securing their third consecutive postseason berth. They were one out away a couple of days prior when out of all twisted ironies, Tony Gwynn, Jr. did them in with a tying RBI triple for Hoffman’s sixth blown save.

The Brewers pulled the game out in extras and then rallied from an early four-run deficit against Brett Tomko to win 11-6, giving the Padres’ division rivals new life.

But with fairly certain NL Cy Young winner Jake Peavy going Monday against Josh Fogg, the Padres still had to feel good about their chances. Even with the odds against them, Colorado got to the San Diego ace enough to score six runs and build a one-run lead in the home sixth for their bullpen to hold.

However, just four outs away Holliday’s misplay on a two out Giles double off setup man Brian Fuentes allowed Geoff Blum to score the tying run.

The game would go to extras because both pens kept the opposition off the board. San Diego got splendid relief pitching from ex-Met Heath Bell who tossed two and two thirds scoreless while fanning five to keep the Rockies from winning the game.

Doug Brocail and Joe Thatcher were equally as effective in the first three extra innings striking out a combined four including Holliday a couple of times.

The Padres also threatened to go ahead a couple of times off Colorado’s Matt Herges but the ex-Giant closer didn’t break getting out of jams to work three scoreless.

But when ex-Met Jorge Julio came on as the Rockies’ 10th pitcher of the night, it looked like their luck had run out. The much maligned reliever who can implode at any moment didn’t retire a batter, walking Brian Giles on five pitches and then giving up a go-ahead two-run home run to Scott Hairston which gave the Padres an 8-6 lead.

They don’t call him Armando Benitez Lite for nothing.

After Julio permitted another hit, Colorado manager Clint Hurdle had finally seen enough wisely opting for Ramon Ortiz, who pitched to contact retiring the next three batters to keep the game within reach for his explosive top of the order.

His team had been resilient all second half and swung the bats very well in late innings just to reach this point. A Brad Hawpe solo homer was the difference in a 2-1 extra inning win at San Diego two Fridays ago (Sept. 21) which started a sweep.

This was nothing new for a team which played such great baseball down the stretch. Even the all-time saves leader didn’t faze them as they immediately went to work by teeing off on Hoffman.

Former Met Kaz Matsui got the rally started by battling Hoffman and then leading off with a double to right center. Then emerging NL Rookie of The Year candidate Troy Tulowitzki drove the second baseman home with a double to deep center which sliced the deficit to one.

Matt Holliday gets congrats from third base coach Mike Gallego after his tying triple.

Up until that point, Holliday looked like he would be the goat. However, all year he’d delivered for his team and this was no exception. He lined Hoffman’s second pitch to deep right narrowly missing a dramatic walkoff home run. While Tulowitzki rounded third and scored, the ball caromed off the wall allowing the left fielder to slide in safely with a tying RBI triple as he was serenaded by “MVP, MVP, MVP” chants from a pumped up crowd.

Maybe it was fate that the money player got his chance at redemption and then came into score the winning run on Carroll’s short fly to right. Of course, with a franchise that hasn’t had much success in its 16-year history, it wouldn’t come easy.

Holliday raced for the plate as Giles’ throw came in on a hop to Barrett who blocked the plate. But Holiday slid head first and somehow nipped the edge of the plate with his left hand as the San Diego backstop applied the tag before losing control of the ball. Plate umpire Tim McClelland patiently waited before ruling Holliday safe, sending the entire Colorado dugout onto the field to greet their star who paid the price by banging his chin into Barrett’s leg.

It was only the second time the Rockies made the playoffs. In their third year as a franchise, they also were a wildcard in 1995 under Don Baylor before eventual world champ Atlanta swept them.

It’s been a long time coming for a franchise which had a loser label with six consecutive seasons under .500.

Those days are over. Before they won rallied to win 14 of their last 15, Hurdle’s club was clinging on to life only three over (75-72). They dug deep to finish a franchise best 89-73.

Kaz Matsui enjoys the champagne along with teammates.

The amazing turnaround rivals that of their first round foes the Phillies who are also in October for the first time since 1993.

Now the two unlikely playoff teams will battle to take one step closer to a pennant.

Pretty amazing stuff in one unpredictable season. :D

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Hard Hits October Playoff Baseball Edition

October 1, 2007 in Hard Hits

Who will come out victorious tonight? Todd Helton and the Rockies or NL Cy Young frontrunner Jake Peavy's Padres?

Before the first pitch of tonight’s big play-in game between the Rockies and Padres, we broke down the historic Mets collapse. What went so wrong for the Mets down the stretch? Why did it all fall apart?

Anti ESPN host Brian Sanborn (Sambeze) joined us to discuss this and also preview tonight’s game which can be seen on TBS.

We also handed out our regular season awards (MVP, Cy, ROY).

To check out the archive, click on the link below:

Hard Hits Talks Playoff Baseball

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